Who first used or popularized the phrase "trump taco"?
"Trump Taco" (TACO), meaning "Trump Always Chickens Out," was coined by a columnist to describe his trade tariff reversal pattern.
Sylvie Vance
The phrase "trump taco," often stylized as **TACO**, was first coined by *Financial Times* columnist Robert Armstrong in a May 2 opinion piece (https://www.cbc.ca/radio/asithappens/how-a-financial-columnist-coined-taco-to-describe-trump-s-tariffs-flip-flops-1.7547492). TACO is an acronym standing for **“Trump Always Chickens Out,”** referring to the perceived pattern of the former President announcing aggressive tariffs that shock markets, only to later reverse course with reductions or pauses, causing a market rebound (https://www.delawareonline.com/story/news/2025/06/13/why-do-they-call-trump-taco-people-are-calling-what-is-taco-trade-trump-always-chickens-out-meaning/84169623007/). This term rapidly gained traction on Wall Street, where analysts began using it to describe the predictive, yet volatile, nature of his trade policy announcements.
### How was the "TACO" acronym originally intended to be used in financial analysis?
The original intent behind the "TACO" acronym was to establish a predictable analytical framework for the financial market's reaction to former President Trump's trade rhetoric (https://www.delawareonline.com/story/news/2025/06/13/why-do-they-call-trump-taco-people-are-calling-what-is-taco-trade-trump-always-chickens-out-meaning/84169623007/). Robert Armstrong identified a recurring pattern where initial announcements of steep tariffs—such as those against China—would cause immediate negative reactions, including stock market drops and economic uncertainty (https://www.yahoo.com/news/does-taco-mean-reference-trump-154510180/). However, this was consistently followed by a backtracking or negotiation phase, leading to a market reversal or rally, effectively signaling that the President "chickens out" of the most extreme initial positions (https://www.cbc.ca/radio/asithappens/how-a-financial-columnist-coined-taco-to-describe-trump-s-tariffs-flip-flops-1.7547492). This pattern allowed traders to anticipate the market's two-stage response to trade policy news.
### How did financial strategists expand on the "TACO" concept?
Following the coining of TACO, other financial strategists quickly adopted and built upon the concept to better model market behavior. For example, Nomura’s strategist Charlie McElligott introduced the related term **“Trump Collar,”** which encompassed the entire cycle described by TACO (https://www.delawareonline.com/story/news/2025/06/13/why-do-they-call-trump-taco-people-are-calling-what-is-taco-trade-trump-always-chickens-out-meaning/84169623007/). The "Trump Collar" suggested that the market's volatility, driven by these trade announcements, created a defined range of predictable movement, rather than pure chaos. The adoption of these mnemonic devices—TACO and Trump Collar—by analysts demonstrated the high level of institutional focus on deciphering and pricing in the impact of the former President's off-script policy announcements on global markets (https://www.yahoo.com/news/does-taco-mean-reference-trump-154510180/).
### How did the subject of the acronym respond to the popularization of "TACO"?
The subject of the acronym, former President Trump, has publicly acknowledged and reacted to the term's use on Wall Street. He addressed the acronym when it gained widespread attention, dismissing its negative connotation by claiming that the pattern the term describes is not "chickening out," but rather skillful negotiation (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZUhUDhJznE). When asked about the TACO label, the former President characterized it as a "nasty" attempt by critics to undermine his economic strategy, asserting that the market swings observed were merely the expected volatility inherent in securing favorable trade agreements (https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-taco-trade-trump-always-chickens-out-what-it-means/).
### What is the broader significance of using informal acronyms like TACO in serious financial analysis?
The popularization of informal, memorable acronyms like TACO signifies a crucial shift in how complex geopolitical risk is integrated into quantitative finance. When market jargon develops organically around a political figure, it indicates that the behavior of that figure has become a dominant, non-negotiable variable in forecasting (https://www.delawareonline.com/story/news/2025/06/13/why-do-they-call-trump-taco-people-are-calling-what-is-taco-trade-trump-always-chickens-out-meaning/84169623007/). It moves the analysis from purely economic fundamentals to behavior-based models. For analysts, such terms simplify communication about high-stakes political maneuvers, allowing quick reference to a widely understood historical pattern. This trend highlights the increasing merger between political narrative and market mechanics in the modern era.
### Key Takeaways: Decoding the "Trump Taco" Trend
* **Origin:** The term **TACO** ("Trump Always Chickens Out") was created by *Financial Times* columnist Robert Armstrong to describe predictable market reactions to trade policy volatility.
* **Mechanism:** It identifies a pattern where initial tariff threats cause market panic, followed by a reduction or pause that triggers a market rebound.
* **Professional Adoption:** Strategists like Charlie McElligott expanded the concept into the **"Trump Collar"** to model the resulting range of market volatility.
* **Political Response:** Former President Trump acknowledged the term, reframing the described actions as strategic negotiation rather than capitulation.
* **Market Insight:** The existence of TACO as a term underscores how political unpredictability has become a central, modeled risk factor in global financial analysis.
The analysis of terms like TACO provides essential context for understanding how political rhetoric directly translates into measurable economic consequences. As trade relations remain a core feature of global politics, the ability to rapidly distill complex, high-stakes actions into actionable market heuristics—whether through formal models or colorful acronyms—will remain a vital skill for investors and strategists navigating uncertain geopolitical landscapes.
## References
* https://www.cbc.ca/radio/asithappens/how-a-financial-columnist-coined-taco-to-describe-trump-s-tariffs-flip-flops-1.7547492
* https://www.delawareonline.com/story/news/2025/06/13/why-do-they-call-trump-taco-people-are-calling-what-is-taco-trade-trump-always-chickens-out-meaning/84169623007/
* https://www.yahoo.com/news/does-taco-mean-reference-trump-154510180/
* https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-taco-trade-trump-always-chickens-out-what-it-means/
* https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZUhUDhJznE
